Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.026708 0.031967 0.037471 0.043617 0.050252 0.057165 0.064877
2025-11-16 0.016939 0.023999 0.031972 0.041438 0.052191 0.063874 0.077387
2025-11-23 0.011021 0.018696 0.028045 0.039753 0.053603 0.069127 0.087537
2025-11-30 0.008059 0.016188 0.026762 0.040569 0.057390 0.076647 0.099865
2025-12-07 0.006052 0.014436 0.026041 0.041747 0.061343 0.084152 0.111993
2025-12-14 0.004771 0.013408 0.026040 0.043646 0.066023 0.092397 0.124884
2025-12-21 0.003457 0.011967 0.025248 0.044357 0.069115 0.098662 0.135387
2025-12-28 0.003194 0.012292 0.026937 0.048309 0.076228 0.109726 0.151518
2026-01-04 0.001896 0.010207 0.024832 0.047002 0.076587 0.112560 0.157860
2026-01-11 0.001295 0.009317 0.024420 0.047913 0.079706 0.118694 0.168077
2026-01-18 0.000765 0.008273 0.023617 0.048186 0.081933 0.123687 0.176894
2026-01-25 0.000401 0.007377 0.022937 0.048552 0.084226 0.128722 0.185729
2026-02-01 0.000127 0.006343 0.021949 0.048512 0.086100 0.133413 0.194395
2026-02-08 NaN 0.004839 0.019825 0.046633 0.085430 0.134878 0.199130
2026-02-15 NaN 0.003602 0.017916 0.044910 0.084857 0.136389 0.203863
2026-02-22 NaN 0.003191 0.017688 0.045792 0.087848 0.142418 0.214136
2026-03-01 NaN 0.002911 0.017706 0.047049 0.091348 0.149093 0.225201
2026-03-08 NaN 0.002828 0.018192 0.049069 0.095920 0.157152 0.237984
2026-03-15 NaN 0.002483 0.017936 0.049825 0.098689 0.162871 0.247861
2026-03-22 NaN 0.002879 0.019707 0.054018 0.106360 0.174954 0.265660
2026-03-29 NaN 0.002134 0.018219 0.052632 0.106048 0.176663 0.270540
2026-04-05 NaN 0.001903 0.018122 0.053599 0.109086 0.182718 0.280829
2026-04-12 NaN 0.001585 0.017657 0.053888 0.111127 0.187457 0.289467